Fans of the Magpies are more and more viewing Eddie Howe's side as an inconsistent friend. When everything clicks, they transform into the ultimate thrill-seekers, producing breathtaking performances. However, at other times, key individuals like their midfield linchpin and others completely go missing.
Exacerbating this issue is a second-half game management riddled with a worrying tendency of panic. Ahead of their trip to Old Trafford, the statistics tell a troubling story: they have dropped 13 vital top-flight points from winning situations this season and are without a clean sheet in 10 straight games in every tournament. Earning three points at their famous stadium would be only their second league triumph on the travel this year.
Conversely, a loss has been tasted on one occasion in their previous six league encounters, and despite sitting in a modest 11th place, they are a only six points away from the highly-prized top four. Add in an upcoming two-legged League Cup semi-final against the reigning champions and a decent prospect of moving on to the European Cup knockout phase, and it becomes simpler to appreciate the gaffer's cautious optimism.
“We don't just have difficulties,” said the team's manager. “There are strengths also. My glass is firmly half full at present. I realize everybody else might have a different view, but I feel we're getting better.”
The puzzle persists: can this group recreate – or even eclipse – the achievements of the previous campaign's Wembley triumph and European-qualifying standing? Juggling a packed schedule complicates.
This fatigue might be the reason behind the failure to uphold a brilliant opening 45-minute performance versus Chelsea, ultimately letting slip a two-goal lead to tie 2-2. Likewise, it could be the culprit for a lackluster performance in a painful defeat to local rivals the Black Cats, where the team seemed off the pace just days after a tough Champions League excursion.
Although on-field instruction is undoubtedly Howe's strength, the relentless schedule of two games a week matches has drastically limited crucial coaching time. This impedes the team's tactical evolution to operating with summer signing Nick Woltemade up front, rather than the departed Alexander Isak. Although immensely skilled, Woltemade does not possess the same electric breakaway pace or relentless defensive work rate.
Indeed, the team's previously effective pressing game has occasionally failed. Fitness issues to crucial cog Joelinton have been a factor, while expensive signings Anthony Elanga and Jacob Ramsey have found it tough settling since their combined £90m+ moves.
If a move to a 3-5-2 might theoretically benefit the team, a full-blown defensive absence list makes that unlikely. Key full-backs will be absent for the upcoming key matches, straining the squad's depth.
At their ferocious peak, they appear almost unplayable. The issue is maintaining that intensity for the full match. The often-seen plan B of sitting back into a passive defensive shape has at times proven self-destructive.
“The Chelsea match descended into chaotic at two-all,” said the manager. “But the intention was going for the victory. We always try to win.”
What appears necessary is a pragmatic solution – one featuring better possession control, a engine room capable of controlling the pace, and a sensible willingness to sometimes accept a draw. However, a desire to challenge on all competitions is stretching finite squad resources to their limit.
This might appear heretical to some, but a more selective approach in the cup competitions earlier could have eased the current fixture congestion. With vital European and Premier League games on the agenda, the necessity to carefully prioritize is growing ever more obvious.
The manager recognized the scale of the journey remaining. “Being involved a club of this size, the expectations are enormous. Every moment's crucial. We have work to do in the league. We're in the League Cup last four, we want to progress in the Europe and do well in the FA Cup.
“We're moving in the correct path, but we have a great deal of work to do to transform into the regularly successful side we want to be. Our capacity to string together sequences of victories has deserted us so far.
“The challenge is to hit those levels we know we're able to reach. The internal belief is that the assurance we can achieve it is growing. Yet nowadays we have to prove it. It ain't all bad currently, but the next few weeks will decide much.”
Isla Mariner is a seasoned maritime journalist with over a decade of experience covering shipping, ports, and ocean conservation.